【禁聞】分析︰九常委兩會各唱異調 公開分裂

【新唐人2012年3月16日訊】中共兩會已在北京閉幕。今年的兩會看點層出不窮︰胡錦濤、溫家寶等九名中共中央政治局常委在兩會期間，分別參加各代表團的分組討論，但各唱各的調，為十八大各自的政治勢力做鋪墊。學者指出，中共已經拋棄毛時代的統一論調，中南海裡面也沒有實際的所謂權威人物，中共高層已經四分五裂。

中共的這次兩會與以往有所不同，是中國人大、政協明年3月換屆前的最後一次會議。人大代表、政協委員們爭先留下最後的秋波，為自己下屆連任製造臺階。而九常委也不甘示弱，也為換屆後各自的勢力做鋪墊。

胡錦濤要保西藏的統治穩定，要求黨對軍隊的絕對領導，狠抓依法治軍、從嚴治軍，不斷提高國防和軍隊的建設效益。

對此「普林斯頓中國學社」執行主席陳奎德認為，胡錦濤要求黨對軍隊的絕對領導，可能與他希望連任兩年的軍委主席有關係。另外一種可能是︰前一段時間，軍內傳出了軍隊國家化的聲音。

陳奎德：「 有人已經對中共現在這個軍隊制度、軍事制度非常的不滿意，認為希望能夠有軍隊國家化的立場出來，就是全國納稅人的錢來養的軍隊當成是一黨的軍隊，叫做黨軍。軍隊裡面也直接表達了一些不滿的意見，是不是他(胡錦濤)也表達對這種意見的一種壓制。」

而溫家寶則繼續他的「改革夢」，溫家寶不但強調政治體制改革，特別是黨和國家領導制度的改革。他還罕見的提及「王立軍事件」，並要重慶市委和市政府反思，吸取教訓。但賀國強在探訪重慶代表團時，與重慶市委書記薄熙來等中共官員噓寒問暖，演繹「小城故事」。

「哥倫比亞大學」訪問學者陳破空向《新唐人》表示，9常委各持己見，已經拋棄毛時代的統一論調，中共高層已經四分五裂。

陳破空：「因為中共現在中南海裡面沒有權威人物，包括胡錦濤也不是權威人物，因此誰也不服誰，誰也不怕誰，因此各自為政。溫家寶在閉幕之後的記者會上（按文稿裁剪）嚴厲的公開批評現任的重慶市委市政府，這和周永康的調子完全不一樣，周永康全盤肯定重慶，這就可以看出中共高層已經四分五裂，更不要說中央和地方。 」

陳奎德認為，中共的兩會完全是一個大派對，是一個政治表演的舞臺。

陳奎德: 「大家都知道，權力的塵埃落定，要到中共的18大之後才能夠塵埃落地，所以說兩會就是各自、各個力量乃至向前探路，以及對外、對公共場合進行某種試探的這樣一個會，基本上就是一種探路的，或者是18大之前的一次最後的亮相的一個聚會。」

陳破空認為：中國的民主化、多元化是不由人的意志為轉移的，也不是以統治者的統治為轉移的，中共它不變就死路一條，他希望中國能夠順應世界潮流，把阻撓改革、拒絕變革的個人或團體，包括中共在內都完全拋在後面。

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Two Sessions: Standing Committee Nine Each Sing

Different Tune. Overall Situation Difficult to Control.

The two sessions of the Chinese Communist

Party (CCP) have ended in Beijing.

The focus and momentum of the two sessions

came thick and fast:

Nine members of the Standing Committee, such as

Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao. Respectively took part in group discussions of each delegation.

However, all sang different tune. They paved the way for

their own political forces in the 18th Party Congress.

Scholars have pointed out that the CCP has abandoned

the unified argument of the Mao Era.

There are no real so-called authority figures in Zhongnanhai,

and the high-level CCP leadership has fallen apart.

The two sessions of CCP is different from the past.

It is the last meeting before the change of

National People's Congress (NPC) and Chinese People's

Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) in March 2013.

The deputies of NPC and members of CPPCC tried

to be first to foster trusted followers

This was in order to make steps for their next term.

The nine members of the Standing Committee are reluctant

to show their weaknesses.

They want to make a foundation for their power

after their term changes.

Hu Jintao wants to guarantee the stability of Tibet.

He required the army to absolutely obey the CCP, and paid

close attention to direct military affairs according to law.

He strictly directed military affairs, so that it can constantly

improves national defense.

Kuide Chen, Executive Chairman of Princeton China Society,

thinks Hu Jintao requires the army to absolutely obey the CCP,

which was related with his hope of reappointment

as central military president for two years.

Another possibility is that there recently existed a voice

for a nationalized army from troops.

Chen Kuide: “Some people are extremely not satisfied

with the CCP army and military affairs system.

They hope the position of nationalizing the army

will emerge.

That is to use all taxpayers' money to foster the army

as the CCP's army, and call it the party army.

People in the army also directly show some

malcontented opinions. Does he also show his pressing for this opinion?”

However, Wen Jiabao continued his reform dream.

He not only stressed political reform, especially reform

of the party and state leadership, but also mentioned the Wang Lijun event.

He hoped the Municipal Party Committee and municipal

government of Chongqing would rethink and draw a lesson from it.

However, He Guoqiang visited the Chongqing delegation,

and was concerned with Bo Xilai (Chongqing Party Secretary),

as well as other Chinese officials.

They performed a "Small Town Story".

Cheng Pokong, a visiting scholar of Columbia University,

told NTD the nine members of the Standing Committee expressed their own view.

They have abandoned the argument of the unity

of the Mao era. The CCP leadership has been torn apart.

Cheng Pokong: “Because there aren't CCP authority figures

in Zhongnanhai, including President Hu Jintao,

they refuse to accept each other and aren't afraid of each other.

They hang separately.

Wen Jiabao publicly criticized the current municipal government

of Chongqing Municipal in the press conference after the closing of the two sessions.

The tone is completely different with Zhou Yongkang who

gave comprehensive support to Chongqing.

This can be seen that the CCP leadership has been

torn apart, both the centrally and locally.”

Quande Cheng said that the two sessions of the CCP is a

big party, and a political stage show.

Quande Cheng: “We all know that attribution of rights

will be finally defined after the 18th Party Congress.

So the two sessions is a meeting to showcase their

various forces,

as well as a test publicity as it is their last appearance

before the 18th Party Congress.”

Cheng Pokong believes that China's democratization and

pluralism shouldn't be controlled by a person's will.

Nor is it controlled by the ruler.

If the CCP doesn't change, it will lead to a dead end.

He hoped that China will be able to follow the world trend and

leave individuals or groups who obstruct and refuse reform far behind. This includes the CCP.