【禁聞】中國網民熱議“利比亞模式”

【新唐人2011年8月30日訊】利比亞反對派兵臨的黎波里，獨裁統治42年的卡扎菲政權垮臺了。首次展現國際社會「人權高於主權」的變天模式，也刺激中國網民反思中國社會。

「上海外國語大學」中東研究所副所長劉中民在發表的論述文章中，將發生在利比亞的變革稱為「利比亞模式」。他將這個模式界定為“政治反對派發起內戰+西方軍事干預”。

劉中民認為，「利比亞模式」是否會成為西方對「失敗國家」進行政權更迭的新模式，值得長期關注。

利比亞之戰與阿富汗戰爭和伊拉克戰爭截然不同。受到「茉莉花革命」的影響，利比亞國內首先爆發了大規模反對卡扎菲獨裁的示威，受到卡扎菲殘酷鎮壓，造成至少數千人死亡。

利比亞領導人針對本國平民的屠殺行為，引起了國際社會震撼，在主權與人權的爭議之中，聯合國安理會五個常任理事國，全數贊成制裁利比亞。隨後，北約聯軍出動空中力量，支援利比亞境內的反對派武裝力量。直到六個月後，卡扎菲政權覆滅。

這是國際社會第一次展現「人權高於主權」的變天模式，也在中國大陸引起了熱烈討論。

微博上有不少網民針對「利比亞模式」是否適用於伊朗，朝鮮，敘利亞，進行發言，但更多是討論對中國社會的影響。

網友劉萍196412說：“打假從選舉開始！一人一票改變中國！”網友白林坡回道：“如不能如此，只能採取『利比亞模式』了。”

浙江網友溪小流寫道：“JD（建黨）偉業裡說，我們學習日本模式，失敗了，學習美國模式，失敗了，學習法國模式，失敗了，學習俄國模式，也失敗了。。。我們的出路是，利比亞模式。”

網友奧德賽黎明說：“經過#溫州動車追尾墜橋#事件後，我清楚的感覺到：也許只有『利比亞模式』才能解救我們。”

在中國網民熱烈討論「利比亞模式」的同時，中共當局的表態隨著卡扎菲的倒臺也發生微妙變化。

8月22號，在卡扎非政權搖搖慾墜時，中共外交部發言人馬朝旭通過官方網站發表簡短聲明說：“我們注意到近日利比亞形勢發生的變化，中方尊重利比亞人民的選擇，希望利局勢儘快恢復穩定，人民過上正常的生活。中方願與國際社會一道，在利未來重建中發揮積極作用。”

對此作家楊恆均在微博中寫道：“這話有意思，甚麼叫“恢復穩定，過上正常的生活”？卡扎菲時代那叫穩定（嗎）？那叫正常生活（嗎）？另外，中方甚麼時候能夠尊重中國人民的選擇呢？”

利比亞是世界上排名第十二位的石油儲量大國，卡扎菲倒臺後，利比亞豐厚的石油資源的利益再分配，吸引著全球的關注。中共政府一方面低調調整外交口徑，一方面，開始與利比亞新政府建立溝通管道。

六月底，就在卡扎菲政府特使、利比亞外長歐拜迪訪華之後，班加西國家過渡委員會成員吉蔔裡勒也曾低調訪華。「中國紅十字會」則先後提供給班加西和的黎波里三千萬人民幣，及二千萬人民幣的人道主義援助。

新唐人記者尚燕、王明宇綜合報導。

“Libyan Model” For China?

The Libyan opposition controlled the capital city Tripoli

as the 42-year dictatorship of Gaddafi collapsed.

This, for the first time, shows the international community

that "human rights overrides sovereignty."

This also provokes thoughts among Chinese netizens

about the Chinese society.

Liu Zhongmin, deputy director of the Middle East Institute

at Shanghai International Studies University,

named the Libyan revolution as

the "Libyan Model" in his review article.

He defined this model as "Political opposition launched

the civil war + Western military intervention."

Liu Zhongmin, deputy director of the Middle East Institute

at Shanghai International Studies University,

named the Libyan revolution as

the "Libyan Model" in his review article.

He defined this model as "Political opposition launched

the civil war + Western military intervention."

Liu said, whether the Libyan Model would become a new

model for the West to support the "failed states"

for a change of regime,

deserves a long-term deliberation.

The war in Libya is different from those

of Afghanistan and Iraq.

Inspired by "Jasmine Revolutions," massive demonstrations

broke out in Libya opposing Gaddafi』s dictatorship.

However, the demonstrators were attacked violently

by Gaddafi, with thousands of civilians killed.

The Libyan government』s massacre of civilians

shocked the international community.

UN Security Council's five permanent members reached

consensus on imposing the sanctions against Libya.

Then NATO forces deployed airpower

in support of the armed forces of Libyan opposition.

Six months later, Gaddafi』s regime is completely overturned.

This is the first time the international community has shown

a model of overturning: "human rights override sovereignty."

It also provoked netizens』 widespread discussions in China.

Many microbloggers asked whether the Libyan Model could

be applied to countries like Iran, North Korea and Syria.

But more discussions were focusing on

the Libyan Model』s impact on Chinese society.

Netizen 『Liu Ping 196412』 said: “Anti-counterfeit starts

with the election! One-head, one-vote can change China!”

Netizen 『Bai Lin Po』 responded:

“The only choice is the Libyan Model.”

Netizen “Xi Xiaoliu” wrote:

“The film 『Beginning of the Great Revival』 said that

we learned the Japanese Model, but failed.

We learned the American Model, but failed.

We learned the French Model, but failed.

And we learned the Russian Model, but also failed.

Our way out is the Libyan Model.”

Netizen 『Odyssey Dawn』 commented:

“After the Wenzhou train crash,

I felt that perhaps only the Libyan Model

could rescue us Chinese.”

As Chinese netizens were in heated discussions

of the Libyan Model, and with Gaddafi』s imminent downfall,

the attitudes from Chinese Communist Party (CCP)

authorities showed a subtle change too.

On August 22, when Gaddafi』s regime was crumbling,

the CCP authorities published an online version

of Foreign Ministry Spokesman Ma Zhaoxu』s brief statement:

“We have noted the recent changes of the situation in Libya.

China respects the choice of the Libyan people and

hopes that Libya will restore stability as soon as possible,

and the people to lead a normal life. China stands ready to

play a positive role in the future reconstruction of Libya,

along with the international community.”

Writer Yang Junheng commented: “The statement is quite

interesting. What is "restore stability, to lead a normal life"?

Can you call the society in Gaddafi』s era stable?

Could people lead a normal life in that society?

Besides, when will the CCP authorities be able

to respect the Chinese people's choice?"

Libya is the world』s 12th largest country

for oil reserves.

With Gaddafi』s downfall, a redistribution of Libya's

rich oil resources attracts global attention.

The CCP laid low at its previous diplomatic remarks,

and on the other hand it began establishing new channels

of communication with Libya』s new government.

At the end of June, Gaddafi's special envoy

and Libyan Foreign Minister Ou Baidi visited China.

Mahmud Jibrilof Libya's Transitional National

also paid a low-key visit to Beijing previously.

China』s Red Cross provided humanitarian aid to Benghazi

and Tripoli of RMB 30 million and 20 million, respectively.

NTD reporters Shang Yan and Wang Mingyu