【禁聞】18大前吁政改 溫家寶要做葉利欽？

【新唐人2011年9月26日訊】近年來，常有人將溫家寶比喻成中國的「葉利欽」，最近更有文章說：溫家寶在大連談「以黨代政」、「黨政分開」，是「溫的宣戰書」，還說，溫「要當中共真正的『葉利欽』」。學者認為，中國沒有出現戈爾巴喬夫，更不可能出現葉利欽。但是溫家寶如果帶領大家一起退出中共，邁出這一大步後，還是有希望成為中國的葉利欽。

溫家寶在大連夏季「達沃斯論壇」開幕式上發表講話，被「世界經濟論壇」主席施瓦布（Klaus Schwab）當面誇讚為「一場重要的政治宣言」，接著，溫家寶又再放重炮，大談政改，批評中共政權「以黨干政」，他還重提「黨政分開」。中共喉舌《新華社》也全文刊發溫家寶相關言論，國內外媒體紛紛評論報導。

隨著十八大的臨近，中國社會問題持續惡化難解，如此下去，胡溫一體都將做歷史的罪人。有人把溫家寶的講話解讀為，溫家寶不願意在歷史上留下駡名，因此他想做中國的「葉利欽」。

對此，《北京之春》雜誌主編、政論家胡平認為，葉利欽退出蘇共也好，當選俄羅斯總統也好，都是在俄國發生民主轉型之後。而現在中國，民主轉型還沒有開始，還沒有看到出現戈爾巴喬夫的可能性。胡平表示，把溫家寶比作葉利欽不恰當。

胡平：「當年葉利欽也不是蘇聯的一號人物，但是，是蘇共上層中具有反戈思想的人。無非這種比喻來講溫家寶。因為溫家寶在中共上層中不是一號人物，但是其中是有反戈思想的人。其他方面相差其實是相差很大的。」

《新世紀新聞》也認為，溫家寶在從政經驗、勇於擔當等方面和葉利欽有差距，不可能成為中國的葉利欽。

著名政論家伍凡表示，葉利欽反對共產黨，他的第一個大動作就是退出共產黨，而後號召軍隊跟著他。伍凡說，溫家寶敢做到這一點，才可能像葉利欽。

伍凡:「把他當成葉利欽我不敢認同。葉利欽首先它退黨，退出蘇聯共產黨，第一步退出共產黨，溫家寶還沒有。第二：葉利欽的性格是非常激烈的，是行動派，他不是幻想的 ，他採取行動了。」

過去8年，溫家寶多次在公開場合談政改，但每提一次政改，溫家寶就受到保守派和左派圍攻。如，他肯定「普世價值」，「倒溫派」的社科院院長陳奎元等就撰文反擊；吳邦國、賈慶林也公開否定「普世價值」，還說「三權分立」不符合國情；不少左派文人不點名指責溫家寶的改革，將導致亡黨亡國。

政論家伍凡表示，「說真話」在共產黨很難生存。溫家寶如果能號召共產黨員和他一起走，退出共產黨才真正了不起。

伍凡：「共產黨非常複雜，非常非常複雜，你要能拉一批共產黨跟你走，才有可能。如果僅僅他一個人，那無所事事，做不成任何事情。」

「中國研究中心」墨儒思（Russell Leigh Moses）教授在美國《華爾街日報》發表「溫家寶的話還有人聽嗎？」（When Wen Speaks, Who is Listening? ）文章，他認為，這次溫總理坦率的發言和語調，「已經有了大勢已去的味道」。

新唐人記者劉惠、宋風、周天採訪報導。

Is Wen “China』s Boris Yeltsin”?

Recently, some people called Wen Jiabao metaphorically

“China』s Boris Yeltsin.”

Articles said, Wen talks about separating administration

from party and that this is “Wen』s declaration of war.”

“Wen wants to become a real 『Yeltsin』 of the CCP

(Chinese Communist Party),” stated some publications.

Scholars believe, since no Gorbachev appears in China,

it is impossible to have Yeltsin too.

However, if Wen were to lead Chinese people to quit CCP,

a big step for him, he can still become China』s Yeltsin.

The speech Wen Jiabao made in the opening ceremony

at the Davos Forum held in Dalian, China, was praised

by chairman of the World Economic Forum, Klaus Schwab,

as “an important political declaration.”

Wen Jiabao came alive again with heavy wording

for political reform. He criticized the CCP authorities

for “the party interference with administration” and

advocated again for “separating CCP from administration.”

The CCP』s mouthpiece Xinhua News Agency

published Wen』s speech in full length,

which was reported and commented

by many media, both home and abroad.

As the 18th CCP congressional meetings draw near,

the social problems in China continue to rise.

If the current situation persists, Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao

will be condemned by history.

Some saw in Wen』 speech him not wanting to be condemned

by history, but wanting to become China』s “Yeltsin.”

Hu Ping, Editor-in-Chief of Beijing Spring magazine

and political commentator,

said that Yeltsin quit the communist party after the USSR』s

democratic transition and was elected as a President.

However, China has not begun its democratic transition yet,

and the possibility of somebody like Gorbachev

coming into being in China is still narrow. Hu Ping says,

it is thus irrelevant to compare Wen Jiabao to Yeltsin.

Hu Ping: “Yeltsin was not the No. 1 figure in former USSR,

but he cherished the rebellious thought.

This is probably the only ground the metaphor is based on.

Because Wen Jiabao is not a No. 1 figure in the CCP,

but he is a person of rebellious thought. In other areas

however, the differences are actually quite a lot.”

The New Century News also believes that Wen Jiabao

is inferior to Yeltsin in many aspects,

such as administrative experience and courage for action.

Thus it seems impossible for Wen to become China』s Yeltsin.

Renowned political commentator Wu Fan said, the most

significant action of Yeltsin to oppose the communist party,

was to quit it and encourage the military to follow suit.

Wu Fan thinks if Wen can do the same, he can be like Yeltsin.

Wu Fan: “I do not quite concur with the Yeltsin』s comparison.

Yeltsin quit the party first, but Wen has not done so yet.

Also, Yeltsin had a passionate personality. He was a man

of actions, not of illusions, he took real actions (unlike Wen).”

Over the past 8 years, Wen Jiabao has talked repeatedly

about political reform in various public occasions.

However, every time he talked about political reform,

he was jointly attacked by the conservatives and leftists.

For example, when he affirmed the “universal values”

of democracy, freedom and human rights,

the anti-Wen president of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,

Chen Quiyuan, wrote a rebuttal article to strike back.

Wu Bangguo and Jia Qinglin also openly denounced

the “universal values,”

adding that separation of power is inappropriate

for the situation in China.

A number of leftist scholars indirectly accused Wen』s reform

of leading CCP and communist China towards a demise.

Political commentator Wu Fan says that it is difficult

for a person to talk truthfully and survive in the CCP.

If Wen Jiabao can motivate the CCP members to follow him

and quit the CCP, he will be truly outstanding.

Wu Fan: “It is very complicated inside the CCP.

You have to get a group of CCP members to follow you.

Then it is possible for you to achieve something.

If he acts unilaterally, nothing can be accomplished in reality.”

In a WSJ article titled “When Wen Speaks, Who is Listening?”

the Professor at Beijing Center for Chinese Studies,

Russell Leigh Moses wrote: “Indeed, the directness and tone

of Wen』s comments this time around smack of despondency.”

NTD reporters Liu Hui, Song Feng and Zhou Tian